We May Not See Apple’s 2024 iPhone SE #GeekLeap

For those who may get the identical efficiency as an iPhone 14 for roughly half the value, would not you suppose it was price getting? Based on analyst Ming-Chi Kuo, Apple could scrap the following model of its wallet-friendly iPhone SE, which was anticipated to reach subsequent 12 months.

“The provision chain has obtained directions from Apple indicating that the manufacturing and cargo plans for the 2024 iPhone SE 4 have been canceled relatively than delayed,” Kuo wrote in a Medium submit on Jan. 6. 

If Kuo’s predictions are appropriate, solely Apple is aware of the reasoning behind the cancellation. However analysis and media studies counsel there could also be a quite simple reply. Costlier iPhone fashions are usually extra well-liked, presumably leaving little incentive for Apple to proceed pursuing cheaper telephones just like the iPhone SE. 

Apple did not instantly reply to CNET’s request for remark.

The third-gen iPhone SE, which debuted in March, begins at $429 and is basically an iPhone 8 full of the center of an iPhone 13. CNET’s Patrick Holland known as it a “mind-blowing worth” in his iPhone SE (2022) assessment, however he additionally highlighted lacking components that make it really feel dated, like its lack of a full-screen design or night time mode for the digital camera. 

Earlier generations of the iPhone SE took an analogous strategy; the 2020 model basically had the identical design however had the iPhone 11’s chip. The 2016 mannequin had the physique of an iPhone 5S with the processor of an iPhone 6S. A rumored fourth-gen iPhone SE was anticipated to undertake a brand new design just like the iPhone XR, in line with YouTube persona and gadget leaker Jon Prosser.

To grasp why Apple could have canceled its subsequent iPhone SE, take into account the modifications Apple not too long ago made in its iPhone 14 lineup. In a departure from the prior two years, Apple didn’t launch a less expensive “Mini” model of its new flagship iPhone in 2022. As an alternative, it launched a bigger model of the common iPhone 14 known as the iPhone 14 Plus, which is $100 costlier than the common $799 iPhone 14, elevating the barrier to entry for consumers. 

This variation adopted studies from Nikkei Asian Evaluation and Kuo (through MacRumors) that Apple would scrap the iPhone Mini in 2022, with the previous including that the Mini mannequin did not resonate with shoppers. Taken collectively, the elimination of the Mini and studies that subsequent 12 months’s rumored iPhone SE could have been axed may point out that Apple is pivoting away from releasing smaller, cheaper iPhones. 

However Gene Munster, managing associate for tech funding agency Loup and a longtime Apple analyst, would not see it that means. He believes the iPhone SE nonetheless performs an vital function in Apple’s lineup due to its low value. 

“It is nonetheless, I believe, the perfect bang in your buck relating to an iPhone,” he stated.

Apple iPhone 14 Pro and iPhone 14 Pro Max

Apple is rumored to scrap subsequent 12 months’s iPhone SE because it experiences excessive demand for costlier telephones just like the iPhone 14 Professional and Professional Max (pictured)


James Martin/CNET

Proof means that costlier iPhones are usually prime sellers, which could assist clarify the shift. The common promoting value of an iPhone rose 7% 12 months over ear within the third quarter of 2022, in line with Counterpoint Analysis. The market analysis agency additionally reported in June that Apple dominated the worldwide marketplace for premium telephones with a 62% share within the first quarter of 2022. It is vital to notice that Counterpoint defines premium telephones as units that value $400 and better, which means the third-gen iPhone SE would fall into that class because it begins at $429. The report, nevertheless, did say that Apple’s development within the premium class largely got here from the iPhone 13 lineup.

The pricier iPhone 14 Professional and Professional Max additionally look like the celebrities of Apple’s new smartphone lineup thus far. The Info reported that Apple lower manufacturing of the iPhone 14 Plus inside two weeks of its launch, whereas analysis agency Trendforce says Apple boosted manufacturing of the iPhone 14 Professional and Professional Max. Kuo additionally said on Twitter in September that the iPhone 14 Professional Max was answerable for about 60% of Apple’s order enhance for the Professional lineup, hinting that Apple’s most costly new iPhone can also be its hottest. A November 2022 report from Wave7 Analysis additionally stated 38 out of 39 surveyed provider service representatives stated they did not have in-store stock of the iPhone 14 Professional or Professional Max. 

The iPhone SE, in the meantime, has solely accounted for roughly 5% to eight% of quarterly US iPhone gross sales over the previous two years, stated Josh Lowitz of Shopper Intelligence Analysis Companions. When complete volumes for the latest iPhone fashions in a given 12 months, the Professional variations usually account for 35% to 40% of gross sales, whereas the iPhone SE makes up about 20%, in line with Munster.

Provider reductions have additionally made it simpler to snag high-end telephones at cheaper costs, particularly when buying and selling in an outdated machine, as my colleague Eli Blumenthal identified following the iPhone 13’s launch. Many US consumers additionally pay for his or her telephones in month-to-month installment plans by way of carriers, which may make greater costs simpler to swallow. Each of these components could make the case for getting a inexpensive iPhone with fewer options all of the more difficult. 

“Since you’re paying over such an extended time frame … the $100 value distinction, or perhaps a $200 value distinction, is not that a lot per 30 days,” stated Lowitz.  

On the identical time, Samsung has seen success available in the market for lower-priced telephones. Its Galaxy A telephones, which generally value a whole bunch of {dollars} lower than its flagship Galaxy S telephones, accounted for 58% of Samsung’s smartphone unit gross sales in 2021, in line with Counterpoint Analysis knowledge beforehand offered to CNET. Samsung’s Galaxy A telephones have trendy options not discovered on the iPhone SE, akin to a digital camera with a number of lenses and bigger screens, though they usually run on much less highly effective processors than Samsung’s pricier telephones. 

The notion that Apple could have canceled the 2024 iPhone SE raises questions on the way forward for the SE line generally. Apple prolonged the SE branding to the Apple Watch in 2020 for the primary time and launched a sequel to that product in September.  

The truth that Apple had introduced the SE line to a different product had made it appear to be a extra everlasting fixture in Apple’s lineup. But when Kuo’s perception seems to be correct, the iPhone SE’s days could also be numbered. And as soon as you are taking a more in-depth have a look at how Apple’s smartphone lineup has modified and the information round telephone shipments, it is easy to know why.

However Munster is not satisfied that cheaper iPhones just like the SE are going away for good. Having a extra inexpensive possibility makes it simpler for Apple to realize its broader objective of bringing extra clients into its net of services. 

“I believe that performs an vital function,” he stated. “I do not suppose Apple’s giving up on that value level.”

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